CSU RAMS/LPDM forecast
for the COBRA project


Experimental forecast of air mass source area
24 hour prior to sampling at the WLEF tower location



sampling periods
0801 0802 0803 0804
00-03 z 00-03 z 00-03 z 00-03 z
03-06 z 03-06 z 03-06 z 03-06 z
06-09 z 06-09 z 06-09 z 06-09 z
09-12 z 09-12 z 09-12 z 09-12 z
12-15 z 12-15 z 12-15 z 12-15 z
15-18 z 15-18 z 15-18 z 15-18 z
18-21 z 18-21 z 18-21 z 18-21 z
21-24 z 21-24 z 21-24 z 21-24 z

CSU RAMS weather forecast



The above forecast is prepared using Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model (LPDM) driven by CSU RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Modeling System). The RAMS forecast is initialized at 12z and run for 48 hours.

The air mass source area is presented in terms of influence functions [10^10 s/m^3] as a volume source contributing to a passive tracer concentration observed at the receptor during specific sampling period. The influence function is derived from particles released at the receptor and traced backward in time.

The calculations were performed under the following assumptions:



contact: Marek Uliasz